THE POWER OF DOING NOTHING IN FOREX

I will show you why doing nothing is surprisingly powerful in trading.

This simple exercise had a profound impact on how I will try to manage my trades in future. Once I open a trade and I’ve got my stop to break even its time to do nothing, just walk away.

Obviously the vast majority of my trades would have been stopped out at break even however the small percentage that survived were taken by the long term trend and became little profit pulling machines! To give you an idea of the power of doing nothing lets take just one trade from the EURUSD. I entered this short sell trade back in January 2010, it was a simple trend collapse breakout trade risking 35 pips (2% of my account) and I took profit at around 95 pips. Which is not bad right? I risked 1 to get almost 3. (see details of the move at end of this post)

Now lets take a look what happened if I did nothing. The Daily trend took this trade and it never came back to hit my break even stop. In June 2010 it hit a maximum profit of 2410 pips and if it wasn’t closed it would be sitting right now at 1250 pips. Realistically I believe any long term sell positions on the EURUSD would have been closed the moment the head and shoulders pattern played out on the daily chart at the end of June. This would have closed the trade with a profit of about 1800 pips.

Now here is the shocking part!

Remember that the initial risk on this trade was 35 pips, which was equivalent to 2% of the trading account.Closing the trade at 1800 pips would have resulted in a gain of 102.8% on the account! Remember, this is just one trade!

HIGH PROBABILITY DIVERGENCE SETUPS

Welcome to the second part where I am explaining how you can use divergence with some tips and tricks I have learnt over the years to pinpoint market turning points with high accuracy. 

In the part 1 (price swing prediction) we discussed standard divergence and what to look for with your preferred indicator to spot this setup. Now its time to dig a little further and see how deep the rabbit hole goes! 

High Probability Divergence Setups!

Through years of trial and error I have discovered what works and what does not. Divergence by itself is a bit hit and miss, you never really know if the divergence will play ball or not. This is probably why many traders give it a try then decide to leave it for something 'supposedly' better. Sadly, they didn't know how close they were to the pot of gold!